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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match.
Result | ||
NAC Breda | Draw | FC Utrecht |
33.7% ( 0) | 24.6% ( -0) | 41.7% |
Both teams to score 58.65% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.73% ( -0) | 44.27% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.35% ( -0) | 66.64% ( 0) |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.52% | 25.48% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.68% ( -0) | 60.32% ( 0) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.71% | 21.29% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.78% ( -0) | 54.22% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
NAC Breda | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 7.84% 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.07% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.55% Total : 33.7% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 2-2 @ 6.07% 0-0 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 8.88% 0-1 @ 8.39% 0-2 @ 6.49% 1-3 @ 4.58% 0-3 @ 3.35% 2-3 @ 3.13% 1-4 @ 1.77% 0-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.62% Total : 41.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |