Eredivisie | Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Rat Verlegh Stadion
Garbett (58'), Van den Bergh (90+1')
FT (HT: 0-0)
We said: NAC Breda 1-3 Ajax
NAC Breda were comprehensively dispatched at the home of Groningen last weekend, so it is hard to imagine the hosts earning anything from the visit of Ajax on Sunday.
De Godenzonen could be leggy following their dramatic Europa League win on Thursday, although the Dutch giants should have more than enough quality to collect maximum points at Rat Verlegh Stadion.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 50.64% . A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.9% .
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (6.7%) . The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (6.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood .
Result NAC Breda Draw Ajax 27.42% ( -2.79) 21.94% ( 0.13) 50.64% ( 2.66)
Both teams to score 64.59% ( -2.67)
65.09% ( -2.61) 34.91% ( 2.61)
43.11% ( -2.97) 56.89% ( 2.98)
75.23% ( -3.04) 24.77% ( 3.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.66% ( -4.44) 59.34% ( 4.45)
85.87% ( -0.07) 14.13% ( 0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 58.21% ( -0.14) 41.79% ( 0.14)
NAC Breda 27.42%
Ajax 50.64%
Draw 21.94%
NAC Breda Draw Ajax 2-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.31) 1-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 3.41% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.45) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.45) 3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.27) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.59% Total : 27.42% 1-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.45) 3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.3) Other @ 0.38% Total : 21.94% 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.38) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.86) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.82) 1-3 @ 6.1% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.53) 2-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 2.98% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.25) 2-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.12) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.66% Total : 50.64%
How you voted: NAC Breda vs Ajax
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rhs 2.0
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