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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 73.47%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 11.42%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 3-1 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.56%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Almere City |
73.47% ( -0.01) | 15.11% ( 0) | 11.42% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.4% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.07% ( 0.01) | 27.93% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.34% ( 0.02) | 48.66% ( -0.01) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.46% | 6.54% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.62% ( 0) | 24.38% |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.55% ( 0.02) | 36.45% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.77% ( 0.02) | 73.23% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Almere City |
2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.13% 3-0 @ 8.06% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( -0) 4-1 @ 5.55% 4-0 @ 5.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.11% ( 0) 5-1 @ 3.02% 5-0 @ 3% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.8% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.38% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.36% 4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 3.8% Total : 73.47% | 1-1 @ 6.56% 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.38% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 15.11% | 1-2 @ 3.31% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.21% 1-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 11.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |