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Willem II
Eredivisie | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Yanmar Stadion
Ajax

Almere City
2 - 2
Ajax

Ritmeester van de Kamp (67'), Robinet (90+3' pen.)
Jacobs (7'), van Bruggen (15'), Robinet (15'), Resink (75'), Koopmeiners (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Akpom (68'), Tahirovic (82')
Brobbey (15'), Rensch (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Almere City and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sparta 1-2 Almere City
Sunday, November 5 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 0-2 Brighton
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Almere City 1-3 Ajax

Although Ajax are now on the up, they cannot underestimate opponents who are brimming in confidence. As a result, we feel that Ajax will produce one of their most efficient performances of the season to win a game that could move them into the top half of the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.68%) and 1-3 (6.51%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Almere CityDrawAjax
25.45% (-0.375 -0.38) 21.05% (0.132 0.13) 53.5% (0.241 0.24)
Both teams to score 65.97% (-0.91600000000001 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.7% (-1.021 -1.02)32.29% (1.019 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.09% (-1.197 -1.2)53.91% (1.195 1.19)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (-0.809 -0.81)24.73% (0.806 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.71% (-1.141 -1.14)59.28% (1.139 1.14)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.65% (-0.27499999999999 -0.27)12.35% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.82% (-0.574 -0.57)38.18% (0.572 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Almere City 25.45%
    Ajax 53.5%
    Draw 21.05%
Almere CityDrawAjax
2-1 @ 6.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.27% (0.135 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 2.98% (0.025 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.39% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 25.45%
1-1 @ 8.92% (0.189 0.19)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.05% (0.165 0.17)
3-3 @ 2.12% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 21.05%
1-2 @ 9.33% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 6.68% (0.225 0.23)
1-3 @ 6.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 6.39% (0.28 0.28)
0-3 @ 4.66% (0.109 0.11)
2-3 @ 4.55% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-4 @ 3.4% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-4 @ 2.44% (0.032 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.38% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-5 @ 1.42% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-4 @ 1.11% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-5 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
2-5 @ 0.99% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 53.5%

How you voted: Almere City vs Ajax

Almere City
16.0%
Draw
8.0%
Ajax
76.0%
25
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2022 1pm
Club Friendlies
Almere City
1-1
Ajax
Jacobs (47')
Brobbey (35')
Fitz-Jim (78')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV23164371264552
2Ajax21163245182751
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2312744236643
4Feyenoord22117446262040
5AZ AlkmaarAZ22124638211740
6FC Twente21106544301436
7Go Ahead Eagles2210574034635
8Groningen2376102232-1027
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2383122641-1527
10Fortuna SittardSittard2275102940-1126
11Heerenveen2275102641-1526
12NECNijmegen2173113230224
13PEC Zwolle2266102634-824
14Willem II2366112634-824
15Heracles225982839-1124
16Sparta RotterdamSparta2348111933-1420
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2245133145-1417
18Almere CityAlmere City2134141243-3113


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