MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 11:19:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Heerenveen

Ajax
4 - 1
Heerenveen

Bergwijn (25'), Brobbey (42'), Akpom (84', 90+2')
van den Boomen (60')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Brouwers (45+1')
van Amersfoort (40'), Olsson (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 2-0 Volendam
Thursday, November 2 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-0 Heracles
Saturday, October 28 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 2-1 Heerenveen

Ajax experienced a new-manager bounce in the last match and will be looking to keep the momentum going as they approach their must-win Europa League encounter against Brighton & Hove Albion next week. Last week's win could be the turning point in the season for the hosts, and we fancy them to go back-to-back in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 62.73%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.53%) and 1-0 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawHeerenveen
62.73% (0.223 0.22) 19.29% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 17.97% (-0.267 -0.27)
Both teams to score 60.9% (-0.749 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.09% (-0.71700000000001 -0.72)33.91% (0.721 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.24% (-0.818 -0.82)55.76% (0.822 0.82)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.62% (-0.151 -0.15)10.38% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.1% (-0.349 -0.35)33.9% (0.353 0.35)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96% (-0.715 -0.72)32.04% (0.719 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.49% (-0.822 -0.82)68.51% (0.827 0.83)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 62.73%
    Heerenveen 17.97%
    Draw 19.29%
AjaxDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.53% (0.207 0.21)
1-0 @ 7.54% (0.231 0.23)
3-1 @ 7.33% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.44% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 4.17% (-0.091 -0.09)
4-1 @ 4.15% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.65% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.88% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.65% (0.008 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.07% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 62.73%
1-1 @ 8.58% (0.096 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-0 @ 3.33% (0.123 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 19.29%
1-2 @ 4.88% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-1 @ 3.79% (0.068 0.07)
0-2 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 17.97%

How you voted: Ajax vs Heerenveen

Ajax
81.0%
Draw
9.5%
Heerenveen
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 25
Heerenveen
2-4
Ajax
Kudus (10'), Alvarez (16'), Bergwijn (19'), Taylor (52')
Sep 10, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 6
Ajax
5-0
Heerenveen
Klaassen (4'), Taylor (16'), Kudus (48', 59'), Brobbey (70')
May 11, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 29
Ajax
5-0
Heerenveen
Tagliafico (19'), Berghuis (33'), Haller (38' pen.), Brobbey (85'), Alvarez (90')
Oct 16, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 8
Heerenveen
0-2
Ajax

Madsen (55'), Kaib (61'), van Ewijk (90'), van Beek (90+1')
Haller (24'), Neres (75')
Apr 4, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 28
Heerenveen
1-2
Ajax
Tadic (36' pen.), Haller (61')
Tagliafico (86')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1312014593636
2Feyenoord1384131131828
3FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
4Ajax1182125111426
5FC Twente1374226121425
6Go Ahead Eagles135351820-218
7AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
8Fortuna SittardSittard135261418-417
9NECNijmegen125161910916
10Willem II124351312115
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen134271326-1314
13Heracles133461425-1113
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Groningen133371224-1212
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City13139630-246
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1312101233-215


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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