MX23RW : Friday, September 27 22:34:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
NEC

Heerenveen
1 - 1
Nijmegen

Walemark (6')
Kohlert (16')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Dost (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 1-0 Heerenveen
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-3 Vitesse
Sunday, October 1 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Heerenveen 1-1 NEC

Heerenveen have looked very poor over the past few weeks, losing their last five games on the spin, but NEC have picked up just one point from their opening three away games. As such, we expect the hosts to stop the rot this weekend, which would be a huge relief for Van Wonderen considering his side have underperformed massively of late. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for NEC had a probability of 21.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
HeerenveenDrawNEC
55.9% (0.161 0.16) 23.09% (0.101 0.1) 21.01% (-0.262 -0.26)
Both teams to score 52.99% (-0.707 -0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.19% (-0.755 -0.75)46.8% (0.756 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94% (-0.712 -0.71)69.06% (0.712 0.71)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.43% (-0.211 -0.21)16.56% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.65% (-0.382 -0.38)46.34% (0.383 0.38)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.5% (-0.686 -0.69)36.49% (0.686 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.72% (-0.699 -0.7)73.28% (0.70100000000001 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 55.9%
    NEC 21.01%
    Draw 23.08%
HeerenveenDrawNEC
1-0 @ 10.86% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.77% (0.17 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.86% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.65% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.63% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 55.9%
1-1 @ 10.95% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.08%
0-1 @ 6.09% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 21.01%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs Nijmegen

Heerenveen
46.7%
Draw
26.7%
NEC
26.7%
15
Head to Head
May 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 31
Nijmegen
2-3
Heerenveen
Mattsson (37'), Dimata (61')
Haye (27'), Van Hooijdonk (82'), Colassin (87')
Sep 4, 2022 1.30pm
Feb 13, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 20
Heerenveen
0-1
Nijmegen

Haye (53'), van Hooijdonk (77'), Dresevic (82')
Tavsan (41')
Barreto (8'), van Rooij (73'), Schone (90+7')
Nov 6, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 11
Nijmegen
1-1
Heerenveen
Akman (53')
Veerman (72')
May 14, 2017 1.30pm
Heerenveen
0-2
Nijmegen

Schmidt (41')
Groeneveld (23'), Awoniyi (64')
von Haacke (28'), Messaoud (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV66002341918
2AZ AlkmaarAZ65101621416
3FC UtrechtUtrecht541095413
4FC Twente6321125711
5Feyenoord523011569
6Groningen623110739
7Sparta RotterdamSparta62317619
8Heracles723269-39
9Willem II622210738
10Ajax42118357
11Go Ahead Eagles621359-47
12Heerenveen7214916-77
13NECNijmegen620467-16
14Fortuna SittardSittard6204612-66
15NAC BredaNAC Breda6204513-86
16PEC Zwolle6114610-44
17Almere CityAlmere City6024217-152
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk6006317-140


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