We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-0 NEC
PSV Eindhoven have a stellar record against NEC, and they have made a fantastic start to the season, winning their first three games.
As such, we expect them to record a comfortable victory this weekend.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.01%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for NEC had a probability of 12.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 3-0 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.77%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.