Eredivisie | Gameweek 3

Aug 26, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Sportpark De Weeren

Nijmegen
3 - 0
RKC Waalwijk

Mattsson (23', 90'), Rober (90+5')
Hoedemakers (16')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Min (60'), Oukili (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions

Last Game: Heracles 2-1 Nijmegen
Friday, August 18 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

RKC Waalwijk

All competitions

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-3 AZ
Sunday, August 20 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

NEC may consider themselves unlucky to have been on the receiving end of two defeats so far this season, but the visitors have very few positives to take out of their start to the campaign. Nijmegen also have a very good home record against RKC Waalwijk, winning 6-1 in this fixture last season, so we think the hosts should be able to record a fairly comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 57.27%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 20.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (5.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NEC	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
57.27% ( -0.01)	21.98% ( 0.01)	20.74% ( -0)

Both teams to score 56.23% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.7% (

-0.05)

42.3% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.29% (

-0.05)

64.71% (

0.05)

NEC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.45% (

-0.02)

14.55% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.4% (

-0.03)

42.6% (

0.04)

RKC Waalwijk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.8% (

-0.03)

34.2% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.11% (

-0.03)

70.89% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

NEC 57.27%

RKC Waalwijk 20.74%

Draw 21.98%

NEC	Draw	RKC Waalwijk
2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.94% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.86% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 57.27%	1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.98%	1-2 @ 5.52% 0-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.11% Total : 20.74%