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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 17.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
62.38% ( 0.17) | 20.27% ( -0.2) | 17.35% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 55.98% ( 0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.3% ( 0.97) | 39.7% ( -0.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.95% ( 1) | 62.05% ( -1.01) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.8% ( 0.34) | 12.19% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.15% ( 0.72) | 37.85% ( -0.72) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.76% ( 0.62) | 36.24% ( -0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.97% ( 0.62) | 73.02% ( -0.62) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.81% Total : 62.38% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.27% | 1-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 17.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
4 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |