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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 73.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 9.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.29%) and 3-0 (10.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
73.49% ( -0.07) | 16.8% ( 0.08) | 9.72% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 45.69% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.11% ( -0.39) | 41.89% ( 0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.71% ( -0.39) | 64.29% ( 0.4) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.09% ( -0.12) | 9.91% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.18% ( -0.27) | 32.82% ( 0.28) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.72% ( -0.27) | 49.28% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.84% ( -0.19) | 84.16% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
2-0 @ 13.04% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 73.47% | 1-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.66% Total : 16.8% | 0-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 9.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |