PSV2 - 1Sittard
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, May 6 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, May 7 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-0 Fortuna Sittard
PSV Eindhoven have a fantastic record against Fortuna Sittard, having won 13 and drawn two of the last 15 meetings between the two sides, and they should have no trouble cruising to an easy victory on Sunday. Van Nistelrooy's side have the best home record in the division, collecting 40 points in 15 games, and they are very likely to take all three points in their penultimate match at the Philips Stadion. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 87.28%. A draw had a probability of 8.5% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 4.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 4-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.81%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 1-2 (1.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
87.28% ( 0.13) | 8.48% ( -0.06) | 4.24% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.82% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.78% ( -0.09) | 21.22% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.19% ( -0.13) | 39.81% ( 0.14) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.87% ( 0) | 3.13% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 86.02% ( 0.01) | 13.98% ( -0) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.43% ( -0.37) | 48.57% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.35% ( -0.27) | 83.65% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 3-0 @ 10.53% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.03)7-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)7-1 @ 1.3% ( -0)6-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.46% Total : 87.28% | 1-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 8.48% | 1-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 4.24% |
