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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
PSV

Sparta
0 - 1
PSV


de Guzman (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
El Ghazi (74')
Simons (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last Game: FC Twente 3-3 Sparta
Sunday, April 23 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-1 PSV (2-3 pen.)
Sunday, April 30 at 5pm in KNVB Beker

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 1-3 PSV Eindhoven

 Sparta's only remaining objective will be to try to chase down AZ in fourth, but they would likely need to win all of their remaining games to even have a chance, and PSV are a frightening prospect to face right now. With the confidence running through the side following two massive victories over Ajax, PSV are expected to keep their excellent late-season form going here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 17.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 0-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 2-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawPSV Eindhoven
17.77% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 20.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 61.67% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.81% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.66% (0.0039999999999978 0)40.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.29% (0.0040000000000049 0)62.71% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.85% (0.019999999999996 0.02)36.15% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.07% (0.02 0.02)72.93% (-0.017999999999986 -0.02)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.41% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)12.59% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)38.68% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 17.77%
    PSV Eindhoven 61.67%
    Draw 20.56%
Sparta RotterdamDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 4.88% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 4.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 2.36% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
3-1 @ 1.66% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 17.77%
1-1 @ 9.6% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.55%
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.56%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-2 @ 9.77% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 6.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 6.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 3.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 3.5% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 3.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 61.67%

How you voted: Sparta vs PSV

Sparta Rotterdam
12.9%
Draw
6.5%
PSV Eindhoven
80.6%
31
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 8pm
gameweek 15
PSV
0-0
Sparta

Madueke (51')

Vriends (45'), van Crooij (52'), Verschueren (70')
Feb 27, 2022 1.30pm
gameweek 22
Sparta
1-2
PSV
Thy (32')
de Kamps (39'), van Crooij (62'), Engels (63'), Beugelsdijk (90+5'), Meijers (90+6')
Verschueren (54')
Junior (59'), Doan (67')
Max (20'), Teze (38'), Sangare (38')
Oct 3, 2021 7pm
gameweek 8
PSV
2-1
Sparta
Sangare (82'), Thomas (86')
Sangare (45+1')
Thy (90')
Abels (65'), Okoye (79')
Jan 16, 2021 5.45pm
gameweek 17
Sparta
3-5
PSV
Smeets (4'), Gravenberch (75'), Kharchouch (87' pen.)
Beugelsdijk (45+2')
Junior (24'), Malen (47', 90+3'), Madueke (49'), Max (71')
Thomas (37')
Nov 29, 2020 7pm
gameweek 10
PSV
1-0
Sparta
Malen (78')
Ledezma (30')

Mijnans (66'), Engels (81'), Meijers (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237
> Eredivisie Full Table


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