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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 17.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 0-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 2-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
17.77% ( 0.02) | 20.56% ( 0.01) | 61.67% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 55.81% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.66% ( 0) | 40.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.29% ( 0) | 62.71% ( -0) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.85% ( 0.02) | 36.15% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.07% ( 0.02) | 72.93% ( -0.02) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.41% ( -0) | 12.59% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.32% ( -0.01) | 38.68% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 4.88% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.63% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.36% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 17.77% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.55% 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.56% | 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-2 @ 9.77% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0) 1-3 @ 6.87% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.75% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.56% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.81% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.48% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 3.61% Total : 61.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |