Eredivisie | Gameweek 30

Apr 23, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Adelaarshorst

Go Ahead Eagles
2 - 0
Sittard

Thor Willumsson (17'), Blomme (75')
Fontan (69'), de Lange (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Go Ahead Eagles and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Go Ahead Eagles

All competitions

Last Game: Go Ahead Eagles 3-2 RKC Waalwijk
Wednesday, April 19 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 0-3 AZ
Sunday, April 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Fortuna Sittard

Both teams are aware of the importance of victory, yet there will be an acceptance that avoiding defeat could also prove decisive come the end of the season. While we expect a competitive contest, do not be surprised if this fixture ends in a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 56.09%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 22.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.

Result
Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
56.09% ( 0.52)	21.8% ( -0.16)	22.11% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 58.94% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.33% (

0.33)

39.67% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.98% (

0.34)

62.02% (

-0.34)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.96% (

0.28)

14.04% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.4% (

0.54)

41.6% (

-0.54)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.57% (

-0.13)

31.43% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.19% (

-0.15)

67.81% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Go Ahead Eagles 56.09%

Fortuna Sittard 22.11%

Draw 21.79%

Go Ahead Eagles	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.3% Total : 56.09%	1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.79%	1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.67% Total : 22.11%