MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 16:28:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Goffertstadion
FC Utrecht

Nijmegen
3 - 0
Utrecht

Proper (31'), Mattsson (34'), Dost (52' pen.)
Verdonk (17')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Jensen (44'), van der Maarel (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 4-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, September 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 1-3 Utrecht
Saturday, September 16 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 1-2 FC Utrecht

Under new management, Utrecht took a positive step with a fine win on the road last week, and they may do so again here with the changes Jans has come in and made. The hosts have shown no real consistency, already losing three of their opening five games, and that run could continue here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NECDrawFC Utrecht
47.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 23.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 29.83% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 62.44% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.48% (0.033000000000001 0.03)38.51% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.19% (0.032999999999994 0.03)60.81% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.31% (0.018000000000001 0.02)16.69% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.43% (0.027999999999999 0.03)46.57% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (0.018000000000001 0.02)25.04% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28% (0.021999999999998 0.02)59.72% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    NEC 47.13%
    FC Utrecht 29.83%
    Draw 23.03%
NECDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.28%
1-0 @ 7.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.54% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 4%
3-2 @ 3.83% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 47.13%
1-1 @ 10.36%
2-2 @ 6.42% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.18% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.03%
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 29.83%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Utrecht

NEC
28.6%
Draw
22.9%
FC Utrecht
48.6%
35
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 25
Nijmegen
2-2
Utrecht
Dimata (31', 48')
Dost (63'), Boussaid (67')
Sep 16, 2022 7pm
Apr 29, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 28
Utrecht
1-0
Nijmegen
Douvikas (77')

Duelund (14'), Bruijn (50'), Proper (73')
Sep 22, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 5
Nijmegen
0-3
Utrecht
Ramselaar (7', 79'), Douvikas (66')
van der Maarel (66')
Mar 18, 2017 6.45pm
Nijmegen
0-3
Utrecht

von Haacke (72')
Labyad (28'), Ayoub (37'), Haller (63')
Labyad (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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