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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 54.68%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 23.29% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | FC Utrecht |
54.68% ( 2.24) | 22.03% ( 0.13) | 23.29% ( -2.37) |
Both teams to score 59.72% ( -3.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.63% ( -3.12) | 39.37% ( 3.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.3% ( -3.34) | 61.71% ( 3.34) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.62% ( -0.36) | 14.38% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.73% ( -0.7) | 42.28% ( 0.71) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.75% ( -3.55) | 30.25% ( 3.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.58% ( -4.46) | 66.42% ( 4.46) |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 8.44% ( 1.08) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.96) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.56) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.35) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.19) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.25% Total : 54.68% | 1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.45) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.61) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.31) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.02% | 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.38) 0-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.42) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.44) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.97% Total : 23.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
4 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
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