Eredivisie | 1st Leg

Jun 1, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadion Galgenwaard

Utrecht
1 - 2
Sparta

(agg: -)

Douvikas (70')
Douvikas (28'), Klaiber (34')

FT(HT: 0-2)

van Crooij (29' pen.), Lauritsen (39')
Olij (34'), Sambo (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Utrecht 3-2 Emmen
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Groningen 0-5 Sparta
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: FC Utrecht 2-2 Sparta Rotterdam

With both teams in good form, this should prove to be a competitive tie over the second legs. Goals have not been in short supply for either side, and it leads us to predict an entertaining share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 28.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
47.75% ( 0.11)	24.13% ( 0.01)	28.12% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 57.36% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.32% (

-0.11)

44.68% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.95% (

-0.11)

67.04% (

0.11)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.17% (

-0.01)

18.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.72% (

-0.01)

50.27% (

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.67% (

-0.14)

29.32% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.7% (

-0.17)

65.3% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 47.75%

Sparta Rotterdam 28.12%

Draw 24.13%

FC Utrecht	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 3.3% Total : 47.75%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.13%	1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.35% Total : 28.12%