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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 67.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 15.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | FC Utrecht |
67.06% ( 0.05) | 17.15% ( 0.03) | 15.79% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 64.42% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.58% ( -0.31) | 27.42% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.99% ( -0.39) | 48.01% ( 0.39) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.36% ( -0.07) | 7.64% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
72.72% ( -0.18) | 27.28% ( 0.18) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.74% ( -0.29) | 30.25% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.58% ( -0.35) | 66.42% ( 0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.83% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.17% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 67.06% | 1-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.41% Total : 17.15% | 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 15.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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