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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
FC Twente logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
De Grolsch Veste
Heerenveen

FC Twente
1 - 0
Heerenveen

Vlap (65')
Regeer (49'), Rots (57'), van Wolfswinkel (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Haye (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 1-0 Vitesse
Wednesday, September 27 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 0-3 Excelsior
Saturday, September 23 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Twente 2-0 Heerenveen

FC Twente have a phenomenal record on their own patch, having gone undefeated at De Grolsch Veste in the Eredivisie across the whole of the 2022-23 campaign. The Tukkers have kicked off with three wins from three at home this season, so they should have no problem brushing aside an out-of-form Heerenveen side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 70.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 12.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.46%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.

Result
FC TwenteDrawHeerenveen
70.38% (0.94 0.94) 16.67% (-0.28 -0.28) 12.95% (-0.663 -0.66)
Both teams to score 58.1% (-0.954 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.26% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)31.73% (0.278 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.74% (-0.33000000000001 -0.33)53.25% (0.328 0.33)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.94% (0.125 0.13)8.05% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.66% (0.32000000000001 0.32)28.33% (-0.322 -0.32)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.19% (-1.127 -1.13)36.8% (1.123 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.4% (-1.141 -1.14)73.59% (1.138 1.14)
Score Analysis
    FC Twente 70.38%
    Heerenveen 12.95%
    Draw 16.67%
FC TwenteDrawHeerenveen
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.258 0.26)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.026000000000002 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.9% (0.265 0.27)
3-1 @ 7.89% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.46% (0.159 0.16)
4-0 @ 4.98% (0.197 0.2)
4-1 @ 4.97% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.108 -0.11)
5-0 @ 2.51% (0.114 0.11)
5-1 @ 2.51% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.49% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-2 @ 1.25% (-0.019 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.05% (0.055 0.05)
6-1 @ 1.05% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 70.38%
1-1 @ 7.46% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-0 @ 2.96% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 16.67%
1-2 @ 3.73% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-1 @ 2.96% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.48% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 12.95%

How you voted: FC Twente vs Heerenveen

FC Twente
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
Heerenveen
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Jun 4, 2023 1.30pm
FC Twente
4-0
Heerenveen
Vlap (11'), Propper (22'), Brenet (45'), Misidjan (68')
Sadilek (9'), Zerrouki (34')

Haye (55')
Jun 1, 2023 5.45pm
Heerenveen
1-2
FC Twente
Haye (45+1')
van Ottele (55'), van Ewijk (63'), Colassin (71')
Cerny (19'), Ugalde (90+3')
Ugalde (81'), van Wolfswinkel (81')
Mar 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 24
FC Twente
3-3
Heerenveen
Propper (34'), Ugalde (48'), Cerny (55')
Hilgers (25' og.), Van Ewijk (59'), Kaib (90')
Sep 18, 2022 1.30pm
Jan 15, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 17
FC Twente
2-0
Heerenveen
Ugalde (77'), Van Wolfswinkel (88' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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