

Ajax0 - 4Feyenoord
Form, Standings, Stats
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League
We said: Ajax 1-2 Feyenoord
The tides appear to be shifting in the Eredivisie, particularly after the visitors' clear league win last time around and their far stronger start to the new term, and we fancy Feyenoord to come out on top against their rivals in Amsterdam on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.26%) and 2-3 (4.74%). The likeliest Ajax win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Feyenoord |
36.21% (![]() | 21.33% (![]() | 42.46% (![]() |
Both teams to score 71.82% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.59% (![]() | 27.4% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52% (![]() | 47.99% (![]() |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.55% (![]() | 16.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.87% (![]() | 46.12% (![]() |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.95% (![]() | 14.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.39% (![]() | 41.61% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 7.39% (![]() 3-1 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 4.17% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 3.53% Total : 36.21% | 1-1 @ 8.18% (![]() 2-2 @ 7.25% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.31% ( ![]() Other @ 0.73% Total : 21.33% | 1-2 @ 8.03% (![]() 1-3 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.74% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 4.53% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.91% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.58% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.43% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.01% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 2.87% Total : 42.46% |