Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 31, 2023 at 7pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Ajax0 - 1Ludogorets
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ludogorets 1-4 Ajax
Thursday, August 24 at 7pm in Europa League
Thursday, August 24 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Ludogorets 1-4 Ajax
Thursday, August 24 at 7pm in Europa League
Thursday, August 24 at 7pm in Europa League
We said: Ajax 3-1 Ludogorets Razgrad (Ajax to win 7-2 on aggregate)
Ludogorets will need to deploy an all-or-nothing approach as they aim to overturn the hefty deficit, but that will leave the visitors exposed at the back. We can see Ludogorets pulling a goal back in the second leg, but we expect the Dutch giants to outscore the Bulgarian champions once again, putting the tie out of reach. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.16%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.51%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
53.16% ( 0.08) | 20.81% ( -0.01) | 26.02% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 67.53% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.47% ( 0.01) | 30.52% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.17% ( 0.01) | 51.82% ( -0.01) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.14% ( 0.02) | 11.85% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.87% ( 0.05) | 37.12% ( -0.05) |
| Ludogorets Razgrad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( -0.04) | 23.38% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.63% ( -0.05) | 57.36% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Ajax 53.16%
Ludogorets Razgrad 26.02%
Draw 20.81%
| Ajax | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad |
| 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 5.91% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.73% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.52% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.22% 5-2 @ 1.08% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 53.16% | 1-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.77% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.29% ( -0)Other @ 0.5% Total : 20.81% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 26.02% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Ludogorets
Ajax
84.0%Draw
8.0%Ludogorets Razgrad
8.0%50
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2023 7pm
