We said: Feyenoord 2-1 Celtic
The absence of top marksman Santiago Gimenez could disrupt Feyenoord's impressive rhythm, so the Dutch champions may not be at their potent best this week. Nonetheless, the hosts have more than enough firepower to find a way past Celtic, who have not looked convincing so far this season.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Celtic had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Celtic win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.