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Kilmarnock logo
Scottish League Cup | Second Round
Aug 20, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Celtic logo

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Celtic

Watkins (59')
Watkins (52'), Findlay (67'), Watson (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

McGregor (50'), Ralston (68')

The Match

Match Report

Holders Celtic are knocked out of the Scottish League Cup after suffering a 1-0 second-round defeat against Kilmarnock at Rugby Park on Sunday.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish League Cup clash between Kilmarnock and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 0-0 Kilmarnock
Sunday, August 13 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-3 Celtic
Sunday, August 13 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 59.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 19.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.59%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 2-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
KilmarnockDrawCeltic
19.31% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 21.37% (0.19 0.19) 59.32% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 55.91% (-0.761 -0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.41% (-0.952 -0.95)41.59% (0.957 0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.01% (-0.971 -0.97)63.99% (0.975 0.98)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.77% (-0.619 -0.62)35.23% (0.623 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.01% (-0.652 -0.65)71.98% (0.65700000000001 0.66)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.32% (-0.345 -0.34)13.67% (0.347 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.11% (-0.693 -0.69)40.88% (0.697 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 19.31%
    Celtic 59.32%
    Draw 21.37%
KilmarnockDrawCeltic
2-1 @ 5.22% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.03% (0.132 0.13)
2-0 @ 2.62% (0.025 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.81% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 0.91% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 19.31%
1-1 @ 10% (0.137 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.82% (0.205 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.37%
1-2 @ 9.95% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.59% (0.29 0.29)
0-2 @ 9.54% (0.168 0.17)
1-3 @ 6.6% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-3 @ 6.32% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.44% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-4 @ 3.28% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-4 @ 3.15% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.71% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-5 @ 1.31% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.25% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 59.32%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Celtic

Kilmarnock
21.1%
Draw
10.5%
Celtic
68.4%
19
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 32
Kilmarnock
1-4
Celtic
Donnelly (45')
Furuhashi (7'), Maeda (12'), O'Riley (18', 27')
Jan 14, 2023 5.30pm
Semi-Finals
Celtic
2-0
Kilmarnock
Maeda (18'), Giakoumakis (90+5')
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Celtic
2-0
Kilmarnock
Jota (45'), Taylor (51' og.)
Aug 14, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 3
Kilmarnock
0-5
Celtic

McKenzie (21'), Donnelly (42'), Lafferty (60'), Armstrong (78')
Furuhashi (7'), Jota (35'), Jenz (45+1'), Starfelt (76'), Giakoumakis (82')
Maeda (61'), McGregor (85')
Feb 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Kilmarnock
0-4
Celtic

Tshibola (36')
Brown (29'), Edouard (52' pen., 62'), Ajeti (86')
rhs 2.0
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