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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Celtic Park
Kilmarnock logo

Celtic
2 - 0
Kilmarnock

Jota (45'), Taylor (51' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Celtic and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rangers 2-2 Celtic
Monday, January 2 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-0 St Mirren
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Celtic 3-0 Kilmarnock

In a match that has consequences at both ends of the table, we expect a feisty affair that will produce plenty of opportunities across the match. Despite this, it is impossible to envision anything other than a routine win for Celtic in the end, which would be another step towards retaining their Scottish Premiership crown. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 88.76%. A draw had a probability of 8.2% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 3.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.74%) and 4-0 (10.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.9%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (1.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
CelticDrawKilmarnock
88.76% (-1.224 -1.22) 8.21% (0.7181 0.72) 3.03% (0.5099 0.51)
Both teams to score 37.23% (2.734 2.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.42% (-0.258 -0.26)28.58% (0.263 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.54% (-0.321 -0.32)49.46% (0.325 0.33)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.95% (-0.241 -0.24)4.05% (0.245 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.97% (-0.79100000000001 -0.79)17.03% (0.795 0.79)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
38.8% (2.941 2.94)61.2% (-2.937 -2.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.75% (1.376 1.38)91.25% (-1.371 -1.37)
Score Analysis
    Celtic 88.74%
    Kilmarnock 3.03%
    Draw 8.21%
CelticDrawKilmarnock
3-0 @ 13.61% (-0.59 -0.59)
2-0 @ 12.74% (-0.29 -0.29)
4-0 @ 10.91% (-0.7 -0.7)
1-0 @ 7.95% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-0 @ 7% (-0.589 -0.59)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.377 0.38)
2-1 @ 6.26% (0.466 0.47)
4-1 @ 5.36% (0.204 0.2)
6-0 @ 3.74% (-0.394 -0.39)
5-1 @ 3.44% (0.066 0.07)
6-1 @ 1.84%
7-0 @ 1.71% (-0.218 -0.22)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.241 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.171 0.17)
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 88.74%
1-1 @ 3.9% (0.36 0.36)
0-0 @ 2.48% (0.038 0.04)
2-2 @ 1.54% (0.25 0.25)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 8.21%
0-1 @ 1.22% (0.133 0.13)
1-2 @ 0.96% (0.171 0.17)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 3.03%

How you voted: Celtic vs Kilmarnock

Celtic
82.1%
Draw
3.6%
Kilmarnock
14.3%
28
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 12pm
Kilmarnock
0-5
Celtic

McKenzie (21'), Donnelly (42'), Lafferty (60'), Armstrong (78')
Furuhashi (7'), Jota (35'), Jenz (45+1'), Starfelt (76'), Giakoumakis (82')
Maeda (61'), McGregor (85')
Feb 2, 2021 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
0-4
Celtic

Tshibola (36')
Brown (29'), Edouard (52' pen., 62'), Ajeti (86')
Dec 13, 2020 3pm
Aug 9, 2020 4.30pm
Kilmarnock
1-1
Celtic
Burke (24' pen.)
Dicker (10'), Power (35')
Christie (11')
Brown (72')
Feb 23, 2020 3pm
Celtic
3-1
Kilmarnock
Ajer (28'), Edouard (33'), Griffiths (62')
McGregor (67')
Brophy (6' pen.)
El Makrini (21'), Power (45')
Power (57')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, June 24
 
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Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
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Saturday, June 29
 
8pm
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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