Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19
Dec 28, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Rugby Park
Kilmarnock2 - 1Aberdeen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Motherwell 2-2 Kilmarnock
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Friday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 3-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, December 24 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, December 24 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Kilmarnock 1-2 Aberdeen
Kilmarnock have resumed their league campaign in respectable fashion but need to start recording wins to move away from the bottom of the league standings. Aberdeen are struggling for form but should be able to collect all three points at Rugby Park to ensure they finish 2022 in third position in the Scottish Premiership. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Aberdeen |
42.15% ( -0.01) | 25.54% ( 0.01) | 32.31% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.95% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.12% ( -0.06) | 48.88% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.03% ( -0.05) | 70.97% ( 0.05) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% ( -0.03) | 23.06% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.11% ( -0.04) | 56.88% ( 0.04) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% ( -0.03) | 28.58% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.63% ( -0.04) | 64.37% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock 42.15%
Aberdeen 32.31%
Draw 25.53%
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.35% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.47% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0)4-2 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 42.15% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.31% |
How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
23.5%Draw
11.8%Aberdeen
64.7%34
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Dec 20, 2020 12pm
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Form Guide
