Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 18
Dec 20, 2020 at 12pm UK
Rugby Park
Kilmarnock0 - 2Aberdeen
The Match
Match Report
The Dons have not lost to Killie at Rugby Park in over nine years.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 46.26%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 1-2 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-0 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 25.79% | 27.95% | 46.26% |
| Both teams to score 44.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.05% | 60.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.04% | 80.96% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.06% | 39.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.4% | 76.6% |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.59% | 26.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.43% | 61.57% |
| Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock 25.79%
Aberdeen 46.26%
Draw 27.94%
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 5.92% 2-0 @ 4.44% 3-1 @ 1.81% 3-0 @ 1.36% 3-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.38% Total : 25.79% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 10.54% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.94% | 0-1 @ 14.04% 0-2 @ 9.35% 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-3 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.38% 1-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.93% Total : 46.26% |
How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
39.3%Draw
14.3%Aberdeen
46.4%28
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Feb 19, 2020 7.45pm
Fifth Round
Kilmarnock
3-4
Aberdeen
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Form Guide
