Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 18

Dec 20, 2020 at 12pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
0 - 2
Aberdeen

Tshibola (76')
Haunstrup (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hedges (52'), Cosgrove (90+6')

Derek McInnes: 'We must remain grounded despite strong form'

The Hoops have two games in hand, while Rangers lead the league by 16 points.

Dec 20, 15:43

The Match

Match Report

The Dons have not lost to Killie at Rugby Park in over nine years.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 46.26%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.35%) and 1-2 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.88%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-0 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Aberdeen
25.79%	27.95%	46.26%

Both teams to score 44.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.05%

60.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.04%

80.96%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.06%

39.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.4%

76.6%

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.59%

26.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.43%

61.57%

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 25.79%

Aberdeen 46.26%

Draw 27.94%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Aberdeen
1-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 5.92% 2-0 @ 4.44% 3-1 @ 1.81% 3-0 @ 1.36% 3-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.38% Total : 25.79%	1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 10.54% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.94%	0-1 @ 14.04% 0-2 @ 9.35% 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-3 @ 4.15% 1-3 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 1.75% 0-4 @ 1.38% 1-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.93% Total : 46.26%