Scottish Premiership

Attendance: 4,217

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 29

Mar 4, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Kilmarnock
2-2
Aberdeen

Brophy (17' pen.), Kiltie (23')

FT(HT: 2-1)

McGinn (38'), McLennan (50')

McInnes: 'Referee was too quick to award penalty against us'

But boss unimpressed by penalty award for hosts in 2-2 Rugby Park clash.

Mar 5, 08:55

The Match

Match Report

Kilmarnock were on course for their first Rugby Park win over Aberdeen since December 2011.

Team News

Aberdeen defender Scott McKenna has been ruled out for up to four months with a hamstring tendon problem

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%).

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Aberdeen
29.98%	27.75%	42.26%

Both teams to score 47.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.62%

58.38%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.01%

78.99%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.91%

35.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.16%

71.83%

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.71%

27.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.27%

62.72%

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 29.98%

Aberdeen 42.26%

Draw 27.75%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Aberdeen
1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 5.25% 3-1 @ 2.38% 3-0 @ 1.83% 3-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.12% Total : 29.98%	1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9.57% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.75%	0-1 @ 12.43% 1-2 @ 8.46% 0-2 @ 8.07% 1-3 @ 3.66% 0-3 @ 3.5% 2-3 @ 1.92% 1-4 @ 1.19% 0-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.9% Total : 42.26%