Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 56.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
56.76% ( -0.02) | 24.26% ( 0) | 18.97% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 46.35% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.96% ( -0.01) | 54.04% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.53% ( -0.01) | 75.47% ( 0.01) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.09% ( -0.01) | 18.91% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.6% ( -0.02) | 50.4% ( 0.01) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.16% ( 0.01) | 42.84% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.84% ( 0) | 79.15% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
1-0 @ 13.49% 2-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 6.24% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 56.75% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.26% | 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.84% Total : 18.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |