Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Rugby Park
Kilmarnock2 - 3Livingston
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 0-3 Celtic
Sunday, October 30 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Sunday, October 30 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Kilmarnock 1-2 Livingston
Despite being two of the lowest goalscorers in the division, Livingston have shown the greater all-round quality this season. That could prove decisive in a closely-fought contest, one which we feel the visitors will edge in the closing stages. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 56.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
56.76% ( -0.02) | 24.26% ( 0) | 18.97% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.35% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.96% ( -0.01) | 54.04% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.53% ( -0.01) | 75.47% ( 0.01) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.09% ( -0.01) | 18.91% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.6% ( -0.02) | 50.4% ( 0.01) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.16% ( 0.01) | 42.84% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.84% ( 0) | 79.15% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock 56.75%
Livingston 18.97%
Draw 24.26%
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 13.49% 2-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 9.53% 3-0 @ 6.24% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 56.75% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.04% Other @ 0.69% Total : 24.26% | 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.84% Total : 18.97% |
How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Livingston
Kilmarnock
42.2%Draw
28.9%Livingston
28.9%45
Form Guide
