Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 17
Dec 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
Hearts3 - 1Kilmarnock
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hearts 1-1 Livingston
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-0 Hibernian
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Hearts 2-1 Kilmarnock
In a match that has significant consequences in the Scottish Premiership, both sides will look to get on the front foot early on in search of an important result. On this occasion, Hearts will prevail and take a step in the right direction in their quest to qualify for European football. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 24.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
51.05% ( -0.02) | 24.28% ( -0.1) | 24.67% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.75% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.99% ( 0.54) | 48.01% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.82% ( 0.5) | 70.18% ( -0.49) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.19% ( 0.2) | 18.81% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.76% ( 0.34) | 50.24% ( -0.33) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.21% ( 0.4) | 33.79% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.54% ( 0.43) | 70.46% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
Hearts 51.05%
Kilmarnock 24.67%
Draw 24.28%
| Hearts | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.21% Total : 51.05% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.28% | 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 24.67% |
How you voted: Hearts vs Kilmarnock
Hearts
85.7%Draw
14.3%Kilmarnock
0.0%14
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2022 7.45pm
Nov 23, 2019 3pm
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Form Guide
