Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
Hearts3 - 2Motherwell
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Istanbul 3-1 Hearts
Thursday, November 3 at 3.30pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, November 3 at 3.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dundee Utd 0-1 Motherwell
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Hearts 2-1 Motherwell
Having relieved some pressure with last week's victory, we back Hearts to rebuild some form given the quality throughout their squad, and they should have enough to take all three points on home turf at the weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | Motherwell |
41.93% ( -0.27) | 25.16% ( 0.03) | 32.91% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 56.45% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.97% ( -0.04) | 47.03% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.73% ( -0.04) | 69.27% ( 0.04) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.63% ( -0.15) | 22.36% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.14% ( -0.22) | 55.86% ( 0.22) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.71% ( 0.13) | 27.29% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.27% ( 0.17) | 62.73% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
Hearts 41.93%
Motherwell 32.91%
Draw 25.16%
| Hearts | Draw | Motherwell |
| 1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 41.93% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.91% |
How you voted: Hearts vs Motherwell
Hearts
87.5%Draw
4.2%Motherwell
8.3%24
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 3pm
May 11, 2022 7.45pm
