Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 59.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 18.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.78%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hearts | Draw | Motherwell |
59.57% | 22.33% | 18.11% |
Both teams to score 50.59% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.41% | 47.59% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.21% | 69.8% |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.41% | 15.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.44% | 44.57% |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.94% | 40.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.29% | 76.72% |
Score Analysis |
Hearts | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 11.61% 2-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 6.68% 3-1 @ 6.11% 4-0 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.8% 4-2 @ 1.3% 5-0 @ 1.15% 5-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.26% Total : 59.56% | 1-1 @ 10.61% 0-0 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.95% Total : 22.32% | 0-1 @ 5.71% 1-2 @ 4.86% 0-2 @ 2.61% 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.07% Total : 18.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |