Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19

Dec 18, 2021 at 3pm UK

Dens Park

Dundee
0 - 1
Hearts

Anderson (47'), McGowan (54'), Griffiths (58'), Mullen (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Walker (75')
Walker (59'), Souttar (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

The form of Hearts has been hit and miss as of late, but on paper, they do have a stronger squad heading into this fixture, which does make them the favourites. Dundee are fighting for their survival in the SPL and certainly will not go down easily in this match, but this is one that the Jam Tarts should be able to see out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Hearts in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hearts.

Result
Dundee	Draw	Hearts
27.58%	26.07%	46.35%

Both teams to score 50.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.83%

53.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.26%

74.74%

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.83%

34.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.13%

70.86%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.09%

22.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.33%

56.67%

Score Analysis

Dundee 27.58%

Hearts 46.35%

Draw 26.06%

Dundee	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 8.41% 2-1 @ 6.65% 2-0 @ 4.51% 3-1 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 1.75% 3-0 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.26% Total : 27.58%	1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.83% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.06%	0-1 @ 11.53% 1-2 @ 9.13% 0-2 @ 8.5% 1-3 @ 4.48% 0-3 @ 4.18% 2-3 @ 2.41% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.93% Total : 46.35%