Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 50.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 24.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.53%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Ross County win it was 1-0 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Ross County | Draw | Hearts |
24.01% ( -0.69) | 25.5% ( -0.06) | 50.49% ( 0.75) |
Both teams to score 49.35% ( -0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.52% ( -0.32) | 53.47% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25% ( -0.27) | 74.99% ( 0.27) |
Ross County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.63% ( -0.8) | 37.37% ( 0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.85% ( -0.79) | 74.15% ( 0.79) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.8% ( 0.19) | 21.2% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.91% ( 0.29) | 54.09% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Ross County | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.69% Total : 24.01% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.93% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.85% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 50.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |