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Scottish Premiership
Aberdeen logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 11
Oct 16, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Hearts logo

Aberdeen
2 - 0
Hearts

Lopes (74'), Besuijen (79')
Richardson (2'), MacKenzie (66'), Scales (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Snodgrass (37'), Kiomourtzoglou (44'), Grant (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 4-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, October 8 at 6pm in Scottish Premiership

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Fiorentina 5-1 Hearts
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Aberdeen 2-1 Hearts

 In a game with plenty of significance in the upper reaches of the Scottish Premiership, we expect an entertaining encounter between two teams that will go all out for a victory. In light of this, Aberdeen will do just enough to edge their opponents and secure an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 59.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 18.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Hearts win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawHearts
59.57% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05) 21.69% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 18.74% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.81% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.12% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)43.88% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.73% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)66.27% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.65% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)14.35% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.79% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)42.21% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.83% (0.029000000000003 0.03)37.18% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.04% (0.029 0.03)73.96% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 59.56%
    Hearts 18.74%
    Draw 21.69%
AberdeenDrawHearts
1-0 @ 10.35%
2-0 @ 10.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 3.16% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.23% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 59.56%
1-1 @ 10.24%
0-0 @ 5.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.69%
0-1 @ 5.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.07% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 18.74%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Hearts

Aberdeen
78.8%
Draw
9.1%
Hearts
12.1%
33
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2022 7.45pm
Hearts
2-0
Aberdeen
Souttar (38'), Kingsley (60')
Devlin (67')

Brown (37')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Aberdeen
2-1
Hearts
Watkins (49'), Ferguson (69')
McCrorie (59'), Campbell (82')
Souttar (45+2' pen.)
Woodburn (61'), Halkett (86')
Halliday (89')
Aug 22, 2021 3pm
Hearts
1-1
Aberdeen
Boyce (56' pen.)
Halliday (50'), Haring (76'), Walker (90+5')
Ojo (71')
Hayes (16'), Ferguson (80')
Apr 3, 2020 7.45pm
Aberdeen
P-P
Hearts
Dec 29, 2019 2pm
Hearts
1-1
Aberdeen
Meshino (49')
Meshino (30'), Dikamona (89')
Clare (68')
McGinn (68')
Ferguson (31'), Ojo (55'), Taylor (65')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1614204444044
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd176742519625
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Hearts1844102027-716
11Ross County183691435-2115
12St Johnstone1842122134-1314
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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