Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Livingston | Draw | Aberdeen |
36.07% ( -0.08) | 27.21% ( 0.06) | 36.71% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.24% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.79% ( -0.22) | 55.21% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.55% ( -0.18) | 76.44% ( 0.18) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.69% ( -0.15) | 29.31% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.72% ( -0.19) | 65.28% ( 0.19) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.08% ( -0.09) | 28.92% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.2% ( -0.12) | 64.8% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Livingston | Draw | Aberdeen |
1-0 @ 10.4% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.38% 3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 36.07% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 36.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 28 |
2 | Aberdeen | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 28 |
3 | RangersRangers | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 19 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 |
5 | Motherwell | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Dundee | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 12 |
7 | St Mirren | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |