Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 33.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
Result | ||
Livingston | Draw | Aberdeen |
38.77% | 28.08% | 33.15% |
Both teams to score 47.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.24% | 58.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.72% | 79.28% |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.57% | 29.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.57% | 65.43% |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67% | 33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.41% | 69.59% |
Score Analysis |
Livingston | Draw | Aberdeen |
1-0 @ 11.87% 2-1 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 7.27% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.6% Total : 38.76% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 9.71% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.08% | 0-1 @ 10.76% 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-2 @ 5.97% 1-3 @ 2.7% 0-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |