Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 3

May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK

Tony Macaroni Arena

Livingston
1 - 2
Aberdeen

Emmanuel-Thomas (80')
Sibbald (34'), Pittman (36'), Bartley (54'), Fitzwater (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hendry (52'), Hedges (74')
McLennan (34'), Considine (77'), Hayes (89'), MacKenzie (90+4')

Stephen Glass delighted to bounce back against Livingston

The Dons player has missed three months through injury but scored at Livingston.

May 2, 13:30

Stephen Glass "delighted" for Aberdeen after Livingston win

Livingston manager David Martindale was critical of referee Grant Irvine.

May 1, 18:51

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 35.34%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 30%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.11%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (12.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Livingston	Draw	Aberdeen
35.34%	30.02%	34.64%

Both teams to score 42.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.84%

65.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16%

84%

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.11%

34.88%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.38%

71.62%

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.64%

35.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.88%

72.11%

Score Analysis

Livingston 35.33%

Aberdeen 34.64%

Draw 30.01%

Livingston	Draw	Aberdeen
1-0 @ 12.98% 2-1 @ 7.11% 2-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 2.4% 3-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.2% Total : 35.33%	1-1 @ 13.5% 0-0 @ 12.33% 2-2 @ 3.7% Other @ 0.48% Total : 30.01%	0-1 @ 12.82% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 6.67% 1-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.11% Total : 34.64%