Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 75.26%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 9.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.03%) and 0-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.34%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 1-0 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Celtic |
9.25% (![]() | 15.5% (![]() | 75.26% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.55% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.86% (![]() | 37.14% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.66% (![]() | 59.34% (![]() |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.95% (![]() | 47.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.48% (![]() | 82.52% (![]() |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.69% (![]() | 8.32% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71% (![]() | 29% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Celtic |
1-0 @ 2.95% (![]() 2-1 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.42% Total : 9.25% | 1-1 @ 7.34% (![]() 0-0 @ 3.91% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.44% ( ![]() Other @ 0.81% Total : 15.5% | 0-2 @ 12.1% (![]() 0-3 @ 10.03% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 9.73% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.12% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.56% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 6.24% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.7% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.85% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 0-6 @ 1.29% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 3.45% Total : 75.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 26 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 76 | 12 | 64 | 69 |
2 | RangersRangers | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 53 |
3 | Aberdeen | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 38 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
5 | Hibernian | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 33 |
6 | Kilmarnock | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 31 |
7 | Motherwell | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 31 |
8 | Hearts | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 30 |
9 | St Mirren | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Ross County | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 29 |
11 | Dundee | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 27 |
12 | St Johnstone | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 21 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |