Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 29

Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
1 - 1
St Johnstone

Wright (38')
Donnelly (72'), McKenzie (74'), Watson (81')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wright (70')
Wright (37'), Hallberg (44'), Gordon (58'), MacPherson (63'), Considine (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Inverness 2-1 Kilmarnock
Friday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Scottish Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Johnstone

All competitions

Last Game: Hearts 3-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Kilmarnock 0-1 St Johnstone

Given that St Johnstone have the third-best away record in the Scottish Premiership, we expect the visitors to notch a narrow victory over Kilmarnock, who are unlikely to improve the division's worst offensive record on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	St Johnstone
53.26% ( 0.49)	24.42% ( -0.17)	22.32% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 50.64% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.19% (

0.35)

50.81% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.3% (

0.31)

72.7% (

-0.3)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.98% (

0.33)

19.02% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.41% (

0.54)

50.59% (

-0.54)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.54% (

-0.11)

37.47% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.75% (

-0.11)

74.25% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 53.25%

St Johnstone 22.32%

Draw 24.42%

Kilmarnock	Draw	St Johnstone
1-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 53.25%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.42%	0-1 @ 7% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.65% Total : 22.32%