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Scottish Premiership
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
St Johnstone logo

Hearts
3 - 0
St Johnstone

Ginnelly (21', 63'), Grant (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hallberg (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 2-0 Hearts
Sunday, February 19 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

St Johnstone

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-1 St Mirren
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 3-1 St Johnstone

 After a fortnight stewing over an uncharacteristically blunt display against Motherwell, we are backing Hearts to return to league action with a burning vengeance, taking out their frustrations on a St Johnstone side which could cause them problems, but not enough to avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-2 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawSt Johnstone
56.13% (0.668 0.67) 22% (-0.269 -0.27) 21.88% (-0.402 -0.4)
Both teams to score 57.91% (0.372 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.12% (0.749 0.75)40.88% (-0.754 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.73% (0.761 0.76)63.27% (-0.76600000000001 -0.77)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.56% (0.471 0.47)14.43% (-0.475 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.62% (0.906 0.91)42.37% (-0.91 -0.91)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (0.057999999999993 0.06)32.32% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17% (0.066000000000003 0.07)68.83% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 56.13%
    St Johnstone 21.88%
    Draw 21.99%
HeartsDrawSt Johnstone
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-0 @ 8.74% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 6.37% (0.113 0.11)
3-0 @ 5.64% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.08% (0.105 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.089 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.74% (0.062 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.06 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 56.13%
1-1 @ 10.19% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.67% (-0.162 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.99%
1-2 @ 5.76% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.27% (-0.174 -0.17)
0-2 @ 2.98% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.17% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.01 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 21.88%

How you voted: Hearts vs St Johnstone

Hearts
89.5%
Draw
0.0%
St Johnstone
10.5%
19
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2022 7.45pm
St Johnstone
2-3
Hearts
May (55' pen.), Murphy (79')
Carey (9')
Shankland (14' pen.), Forrest (33'), McKay (64')
Aug 28, 2022 3pm
Hearts
3-2
St Johnstone
Rowles (25'), Boyce (31'), Shankland (81' pen.)
Carey (6'), Considine (54')
Murphy (15'), Phillips (45'), Crawford (66'), Considine (84')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
St Johnstone
2-1
Hearts
Crawford (1'), McCart (56')
Hendry (36'), Butterfield (90+4')
Atkinson (6')
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Hearts
2-0
St Johnstone
Ginnelly (46', 75')
Souttar (73'), Smith (89')

Cleary (60'), Davidson (70'), Gordon (90+3')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
St Johnstone
1-1
Hearts
Gordon (11')
Davidson (56'), May (67'), McCart (69'), Gordon (83')
Ginnelly (40')
Souttar (35'), Devlin (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1110103132831
2Aberdeen11101024101431
3RangersRangers11713168822
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd125431813519
5Motherwell116141514119
6St Mirren134361722-515
7Dundee123361824-612
8Kilmarnock123361525-1012
9Ross County132651021-1112
10St Johnstone133191627-1110
11Hearts132381420-69
12Hibernian121561118-78
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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