Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 28

Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Tynecastle

Hearts
3 - 0
St Johnstone

Ginnelly (21', 63'), Grant (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hallberg (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and St Johnstone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Motherwell 2-0 Hearts
Sunday, February 19 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Johnstone

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: St Johnstone 1-1 St Mirren
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hearts 3-1 St Johnstone

After a fortnight stewing over an uncharacteristically blunt display against Motherwell, we are backing Hearts to return to league action with a burning vengeance, taking out their frustrations on a St Johnstone side which could cause them problems, but not enough to avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 21.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 1-2 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	St Johnstone
56.13% ( 0.67)	22% ( -0.27)	21.88% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 57.91% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.12% (

0.75)

40.88% (

-0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.73% (

0.76)

63.27% (

-0.77)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.56% (

0.47)

14.43% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.62% (

0.91)

42.37% (

-0.91)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.68% (

0.06)

32.32% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.17% (

0.07)

68.83% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Hearts 56.13%

St Johnstone 21.88%

Draw 21.99%

Hearts	Draw	St Johnstone
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 8.74% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.09% Total : 56.13%	1-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.99%	1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 21.88%