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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 26
Feb 19, 2023 at 12pm UK
Fir Park Stadium
Hearts logo

Motherwell
2 - 0
Hearts

Obika (40'), Spittal (46')
Furlong (71'), van Veen (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Atkinson (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Motherwell and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 2-1 St Mirren
Wednesday, February 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hamilton 0-2 Hearts
Friday, February 10 at 7.45pm in Scottish Cup

We said: Motherwell 1-2 Hearts

With Motherwell on a high after their much-needed victory in midweek, they will fancy their chances of replicating their efforts at the weekend. However, despite Hearts' recent inconsistencies, their extra quality should shine through in what we expect to be a competitive fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
MotherwellDrawHearts
24.84% (-0.492 -0.49) 24.47% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 50.7% (0.542 0.54)
Both teams to score 53.34% (-0.338 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.36% (-0.212 -0.21)48.64% (0.21400000000001 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.25% (-0.192 -0.19)70.76% (0.19399999999999 0.19)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.01% (-0.527 -0.53)33.99% (0.529 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33% (-0.575 -0.57)70.67% (0.575 0.58)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8% (0.133 0.13)19.2% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.12% (0.219 0.22)50.88% (-0.217 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 24.84%
    Hearts 50.69%
    Draw 24.47%
MotherwellDrawHearts
1-0 @ 7.04% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.27% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-0 @ 3.8% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.26% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.37% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 24.84%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.057 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.47%
0-1 @ 10.76% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.59% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.89% (0.151 0.15)
1-3 @ 5.28% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.89% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.18% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.02% (0.051 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 50.69%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Hearts

Motherwell
16.3%
Draw
20.4%
Hearts
63.3%
49
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 3pm
Hearts
3-2
Motherwell
Halliday (45', 47'), Shankland (89' pen.)
Moult (61' pen.), Spittal (79')
Lamie (36')
Sep 18, 2022 3pm
May 11, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Hearts
2-0
Motherwell
Halliday (37'), Simms (58')
Haring (68')

Kelly (4'), Goss (80')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Motherwell
2-0
Hearts
Shields (23'), Lamie (66')
Watt (90+4')

Moore (48')
Moore (64')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
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Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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