Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Motherwell |
46.74% ( -0.14) | 25.1% ( 0.04) | 28.16% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 54.17% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.11% ( -0.13) | 48.89% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.01% ( -0.11) | 70.98% ( 0.11) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.05% ( -0.11) | 20.95% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.31% ( -0.18) | 53.69% ( 0.17) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.52% ( 0) | 31.47% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.14% ( 0.01) | 67.86% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 46.73% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |