Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 18.24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | St Johnstone |
59.7% (![]() | 22.07% (![]() | 18.24% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.65% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.71% (![]() | 46.29% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.42% (![]() | 68.58% (![]() |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.89% (![]() | 15.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.33% (![]() | 43.66% (![]() |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.84% (![]() | 39.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.13% (![]() | 75.87% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | St Johnstone |
1-0 @ 11.18% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.56% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.91% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.66% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.24% 4-0 @ 3.15% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.38% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.44% Total : 59.69% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.06% | 0-1 @ 5.55% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.92% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.45% ( ![]() Other @ 2.19% Total : 18.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 26 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 76 | 12 | 64 | 69 |
2 | RangersRangers | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 53 |
3 | Aberdeen | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 38 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
5 | Hibernian | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 33 |
6 | Kilmarnock | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 31 |
7 | Motherwell | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 31 |
8 | Hearts | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 30 |
9 | St Mirren | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Ross County | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 47 | -20 | 29 |
11 | Dundee | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 27 |
12 | St Johnstone | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 21 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |