Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19

Dec 28, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

McDiarmid Park

St Johnstone
2 - 3
Hearts

May (55' pen.), Murphy (79')
Carey (9'), McGowan (13'), Mitchell (84'), Gordon (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Shankland (14' pen.), Forrest (33'), McKay (64')
Snodgrass (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

All competitions

Last Game: Celtic 4-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, December 24 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Dundee Utd 2-2 Hearts
Saturday, December 24 at 2pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: St Johnstone 1-0 Hearts

Although St Johnstone came back from Celtic Park without any points on Christmas Eve, there were positives to take away from the performance as they look to record a victory on home soil. Hearts did not get the win they expected at Dundee United and lost many players to injury in the process, meaning a trip to face the Saints could be a real struggle on Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
St Johnstone	Draw	Hearts
30.35% ( -0.01)	28.8%	40.85% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 44.5% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.16% (

0.01)

61.84% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.38% (

0.01)

81.62% (

-0.01)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.33% (

36.67% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.54% (

73.45%

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.26% (

0.01)

29.73% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.2% (

0.01)

65.8% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

St Johnstone 30.34%

Hearts 40.84%

Draw 28.79%

St Johnstone	Draw	Hearts
1-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.66% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.49% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.23% 3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 30.34%	1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 10.9% 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.79%	0-1 @ 13.22% 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.02% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.24% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 40.84%