Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 4

May 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

McDiarmid Park

St Johnstone
1 - 0
Aberdeen

Hendry (17')
Hendry (24'), McCart (39'), Davidson (55'), Gordon (68'), Rooney (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bates (45'), Ferguson (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

Last Six:

Last Game: St Johnstone 4-0 Inverness
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs

Next Game: St Johnstone vs. Annan
Tuesday, July 12 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Ross County	38	-14	41
11	St Johnstone	38	-27	35
12	Dundee	38	-30	29

Aberdeen

Last Six:

Last Game: Aberdeen 0-0 St Mirren
Sunday, May 15 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Next Game: Peterhead vs. Aberdeen
Sunday, July 10 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	St Mirren	38	-18	44
9	Aberdeen	38	-5	41
10	Ross County	38	-14	41

We said: St Johnstone 1-2 Aberdeen

With neither team being able to boast being in decent form, this could turn out to be a hard-fought contest decided by desire over quality. Much will depend on how Dundee fare on Tuesday, but we still feel that Aberdeen will have enough quality in the final third to edge this fixture by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.51%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (12.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
St Johnstone	Draw	Aberdeen
32.47% ( -0.09)	29.67% ( 0.34)	37.86% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 42.77% (

-0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.76% (

-1.12)

64.24% (

1.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.65% (

-0.8)

83.35% (

0.8)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.6% (

-0.68)

36.4% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.82% (

-0.69)

73.18% (

0.69)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.25% (

-0.74)

32.75% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.69% (

-0.83)

69.31% (

0.83)

Score Analysis

St Johnstone 32.46%

Aberdeen 37.85%

Draw 29.66%

St Johnstone	Draw	Aberdeen
1-0 @ 12.04% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.92% Total : 32.46%	1-1 @ 13.44% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.66%	0-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.65% Total : 37.85%