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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 23
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Easter Road
Aberdeen logo

Hibernian
6 - 0
Aberdeen

Campbell (10', 15', 88'), Youan (45'), Nisbet (73'), Fish (90+1')
Campbell (64'), Nisbet (80')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Hayes (28'), Shinnie (44'), Scales (61'), Lopes (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hibernian and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Hibernian 2-1 Aberdeen

Given Aberdeen's dismal record on the road this season, Hibernian will be confident of inflicting a sixth successive away league defeat on the Dons, piling more pressure on Goodwin and his players. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.

Result
HibernianDrawAberdeen
53.66% (0.16699999999999 0.17) 23.56% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 22.78% (-0.151 -0.15)
Both teams to score 53.87% (-0.132 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.19% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)46.8% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)69.06% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.63% (0.027000000000001 0.03)17.37% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.23% (0.055 0.05)47.77% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.19% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)34.8% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.46% (-0.196 -0.2)71.54% (0.18900000000001 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 53.66%
    Aberdeen 22.78%
    Draw 23.55%
HibernianDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 10.58% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.26% (0.051 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.4% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.5% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.37% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 53.66%
1-1 @ 11.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 6.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 22.78%

How you voted: Hibernian vs Aberdeen

Hibernian
Draw
Aberdeen
Hibernian
81.8%
Draw
0.0%
Aberdeen
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2022 7.30pm
Aberdeen
4-1
Hibernian
Miovski (45+8' pen., 53'), Ramadani (61'), Clarkson (77')
Kukharevych (69')
Marshall (45+8')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Hibernian
3-1
Aberdeen
Boyle (45+1' pen.), Campbell (62', 73')
Lopes (4')
Stewart (27')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Aberdeen
3-1
Hibernian
Ferguson (37' pen., 64' pen.), Besuijen (80')
McCrorie (22'), Bates (28')
Ramsey (20' og.)
Newell (16'), Campbell (62'), Stevenson (66'), Henderson (89')
Porteous (63')
Dec 22, 2021 7.45pm
Hibernian
1-0
Aberdeen
Porteous (64')
Gogic (38'), Nisbet (76')

Hedges (88'), Ferguson (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic1100102228084
2RangersRangers101070373367
3Hibernian100154421253
4Aberdeen11004649-353
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd10014145-450
6St Mirren10104756-942
Relegation Group
1Motherwell11004058-1842
2Hearts10014345-240
3Kilmarnock11004058-1838
4Dundee11005171-2037
5Ross County10013358-2535
6St Johnstone10013561-2629
 
First Phase
1Celtic33263497227581
2RangersRangers33206768353366
3Hibernian331411854411353
4Dundee UnitedDundee Utd33148114140150
5Aberdeen33148114549-450
6St Mirren33125164554-941
7Hearts33117154344-140
8Motherwell33116163756-1939
9Kilmarnock3398163858-2035
10Ross County3398163356-2335
11Dundee3397175071-2134
12St Johnstone3385203358-2529


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