Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 20

Jan 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

Tynecastle

Hearts
3 - 0
Hibernian

Shankland (8', 38'), Humphrys (90+4')
Smith (52'), Atkinson (79')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Cadden (11'), Bushiri (37'), Campbell (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Last Game: St Johnstone 2-3 Hearts
Wednesday, December 28 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hibernian

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hibernian 0-4 Celtic
Wednesday, December 28 at 8pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Neither side have proved able to keep the back door shut for long this season, so a frenetic Edinburgh derby is likely to end with both teams on the scoresheet. With home advantage and recent form in their favour, it is Hearts who are set to shade it though - pulling further clear of Hibs in the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Hibernian
44.47% ( -0.02)	24.4% ( 0)	31.12% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 58.3% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.71% (

-0.02)

44.29% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.33% (

-0.02)

66.66% (

0.02)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.95% (

-0.02)

20.05% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.73% (

-0.03)

52.27% (

0.03)

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.92% (

-0)

27.08% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.54% (

-0)

62.45% (

Score Analysis

Hearts 44.47%

Hibernian 31.12%

Draw 24.4%

Hearts	Draw	Hibernian
2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.01% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 44.47%	1-1 @ 11.39% 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.4%	1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.12%