MX23RW : Friday, March 21 11:21:40| >> :60:329:329:
Kosovo national football team
Nations League | Playoffs B/C | 1st Leg
Mar 20, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri
Iceland national football team

Kosovo
2 - 1
Iceland

Dellova (19'), Rexhbecaj (58')
Berisha (38'), Muriqi (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Oskarsson (22')
Gunnarsson (44'), Tomasson (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Kosovo and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Kosovo 1-0 Lithuania
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Wales 4-1 Iceland
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Kosovo 1-2 Iceland

While Kosovo are in significantly better form than Iceland, the visitors have won each of the last two meetings between the two teams, and we expect another victory for the visitors in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 60.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 16.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.

Result
KosovoDrawIceland
60.53% (-0.884 -0.88) 22.55% (0.29 0.29) 16.92% (0.594 0.59)
Both teams to score 47.65% (0.335 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.66% (-0.196 -0.2)50.34% (0.195 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72% (-0.173 -0.17)72.28% (0.173 0.17)
Kosovo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.79% (-0.36399999999999 -0.36)16.21% (0.364 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.29% (-0.665 -0.66)45.71% (0.66500000000001 0.67)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.87% (0.64400000000001 0.64)43.13% (-0.645 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.6% (0.535 0.54)79.4% (-0.535 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Kosovo 60.53%
    Iceland 16.92%
    Draw 22.54%
KosovoDrawIceland
1-0 @ 12.72% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 11.57% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.02% (-0.209 -0.21)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
4-0 @ 3.19% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-1 @ 2.69% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.015 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.16% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.98% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 60.53%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.99% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 22.54%
0-1 @ 5.88% (0.149 0.15)
1-2 @ 4.5% (0.137 0.14)
0-2 @ 2.47% (0.105 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.26% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 16.92%

How you voted: Kosovo vs Iceland

Kosovo
Draw
Iceland
Kosovo
54.3%
Draw
16.3%
Iceland
29.3%
92
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2017 7.45pm
Mar 24, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Kosovo
1-2
Iceland
Nuhiu (53')
Sigurdarson (25'), Sigurdsson (35' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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