Nations League | League C
Oct 12, 2024 at 2pm UK
S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas
Lithuania1 - 2Kosovo
FT(HT: 0-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Lithuania 0-2 Kosovo
Both nations will view this fixture as a must-win game if they are to mount a serious challenge for League C promotion. Kosovo may be without their top scorer Muriqi, but they should still have enough quality in the final third to get the better of Lithuania. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 43.62%. A win for Lithuania had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Lithuania win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lithuania | Draw | Kosovo |
29.36% ( 0.1) | 27.02% ( -0) | 43.62% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 49.01% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.07% ( 0.05) | 55.93% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.97% ( 0.04) | 77.03% ( -0.05) |
| Lithuania Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.74% ( 0.11) | 34.26% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.04% ( 0.11) | 70.96% ( -0.12) |
| Kosovo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.55% ( -0.03) | 25.44% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.73% ( -0.04) | 60.27% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Lithuania 29.36%
Kosovo 43.62%
Draw 27.02%
| Lithuania | Draw | Kosovo |
| 1-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 29.36% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 43.62% |
How you voted: Lithuania vs Kosovo
Lithuania
15.9%Draw
18.7%Kosovo
65.4%107
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2021 7.45pm
