Nations League | League C
Sep 6, 2024 at 5pm UK
Marijampolės sporto centro stadione
Lithuania0 - 1Cyprus
Kalinauskas (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Lithuania 1-1 Cyprus
Lithuania had their struggles in the last Nations League campaign, but made up for it with some impressive results in Euro 2024 qualification, and should come into this break slightly rejuvenated after recent wins over Gibraltar, and only a narrow defeat in the Baltic Cup. Cyprus won their last international fixture, but that was to be expected against San Marino, and if manager Ketsbaia fails to end their five-year wait for an away competitive win, the pressure on him will mount. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 53.43%. A win for Cyprus had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Cyprus win was 0-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lithuania | Draw | Cyprus |
53.43% ( -0.45) | 23.15% ( 0.09) | 23.41% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 56% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
