Lithuania picked up some good results in qualifying, but the majority came at home, and they have been notoriously poor travellers of late. Ketsbaia would likely be happy to just stem the losing run for Cyprus and could well do so in what is expected to be a very low-key affair, with both sides playing for nothing in the immediate future. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lithuania win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.75%) and 1-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Cyprus win it was 1-0 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Cyprus	Draw	Lithuania
19.92% ( 0.21)	24.18% ( 0.08)	55.9% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 48.06% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.46% (

-0.04)

52.54% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.8% (

-0.04)

74.2% (

0.04)

Cyprus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.09% (

0.21)

40.91% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.53% (

0.18)

77.48% (

-0.18)

Lithuania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.33% (

-0.13)

18.67% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50% (

-0.21)

50% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Cyprus 19.92%

Lithuania 55.89%

Draw 24.17%

Cyprus	Draw	Lithuania
1-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.21% Total : 19.92%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.17%	0-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 10.75% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.02% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 55.89%